Wednesday 007 US > Cincinnati vs Dallas

1. Historical confrontation record

The two sides have only 2 historical confrontations, with Cincinnati and Dallas winning 1 game each, showing a evenly matched confrontation pattern.

September 1, 2019: Dallas defeated Cincinnati 3-1 at home, with players such as Michael Valles, Zdnick Ondrasek making a contribution.

June 30, 2024: Cincinnati takes 1-0 revenge on Dallas away, Alvaro Barrera scores the winning goal.

Note: The total number of goals scored in the last 5 matches of the two teams is ≤2 goals, and the game style is more cautious.

2. Tactical style analysis

Cincinnati

System and core: Head coach Pat Noonan focuses on 4-3-3 high-pressure system, emphasizing midfield ball control and wing breakthroughs. Midfielder Luciano Acosta (6 goals and 5 assists) is an offensive engine, good at tearing the defense through straight passes; winger Yuki Kubo and Denkai also create cross opportunities with speed.

Offensive features: Average 13.2 shots this season, with a prominent set-piece threat (28% of the corner kick score), but only scored 3 goals in the last 3 games, and the offensive efficiency has declined.

Defensive risks: Core guard Nick Haglund (rib fracture) was absent for several weeks, substitute center back Miazga lacked experience, and the success rate of high-altitude top-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square

Dallas

System and Core: Adopt a 4-2-3-1 defensive counterattack formation, relying on interception and wing attacks from the midfield double midfielder. Winter Petal Mousa (3 goals and 4 assists) is the core of the counterattack and is good at using personal abilities to hit the opponent's defense.

Offensive features: Average 11.5 shots per game this season, ranking fourth in the Western Conference in counterattack efficiency, but lacks stability in away offense (1.15 goals per game).

Defensive risks: Midfielder Sebastian Legert (hamstring injury) and Juleo (knee injury) are absent, resulting in a decline in the interception ability of the midfield and conceded 8 goals in the last 5 games.

III. Recent starting lineup (as of May 25, 2025)

Cincinnati (5-3-2)

Goalkeeper: Roman Cerentano (18)

Defender: Lucas Aureano (23), Matt Miazga (21), Myers Robinson (12), Lucas Ingil (29), DeAndrew Yedlin (91)

Midfielders: Pavel Buha (20), Obina Novodo (5), Ivande Ferreira (10)

Forwards: Sergi Santos (17), Ahueke Denkei (9 No.)

Note: This lineup is the starter who lost to Atlanta United 2-4 on May 26. Haglund's injury and lacks the defense line to rotate has increased.

Dallas (4-2-3-1)

Goalkeeper: Malten Pace (No. 1)

Defender: Laras Abubaccar (No. 5), Marco Falfan (No. 4), Osazé Uthergre (No. 3), Sebastian Iberha (No. 25)

Midfielders: Ramiro (No. 17), Pedrinho (No. 20), Anderson Julio (No. 11), Bernard Camongo (No. 77)

Forward: Logan Farrington (No. 23)

Note: This lineup is a 0-1 loss to the Seattle Bayermen on May 25, and midfielders Legerte and Juleo were injured and reduced in control.

4. Injury status (official announcement)

Cincinnati

Injuries: defender Nick Haglund (rib fracture, missed for several weeks), midfielder Jackson Hopkins (ankle injury).

Questions: Whether winger Yuya Kubo (leg fatigue) can play is doubtful.

Impact Assessment: Insufficient experience in the back line, the wing defense may become a loophole.

Dallas

Injuries: Midfielder Sebastian Ledgert (hamstring injury), Juleo (knee injury), defender Geovan Rocha (torn cruciate ligament).

Suspension: Midfielder Acosta (non-Dallas player, original text may be erroneous).

Impact Assessment: The interception ability of the midfield is weakened, and the offensive end depends on Mousa to fight alone.

V. Institutional support dynamic

data reference

Mainstream institutions: Cincinnati's main win odds are 1.66 (corresponding probability 60%), Dallas away win odds are 4.80 (corresponding probability 21%), and draw odds are 4.15.

Historical data: Institutions have strong support for Cincinnati's home court 0.5/1 goal, with 2 wins and 1 loss in the last 3 times.

Market tendency: Betfair trading volume shows that 68% of funds flowed to Cincinnati, and institutions have a high recognition of their home court advantages.

6. Summary of key influencing factors

Home effect: Cincinnati's home winning rate this season is 83% (5 wins and 1 draw), and TQL Stadium averages 2.3 goals, with an advantage in home momentum.

Tactical Game: Cincinnati needs to use midfield ball control to suppress the Dallas defense line, while Dallas needs to rely on Moussa's wing assault to create threats.

Lineup Depth: Cincinnati's defensive rotation pressure is high, and the absence of Dallas midfielder may lead to a decrease in offense and defense conversion efficiency.

Information description: All data in this article are from the official website of the U.S. vocational football team, club announcements and authoritative sports media (such as Qitianxia Sports and Fan House), ensuring the authenticity and reliability of the content. For the relevant updates of the competition, please refer to the official release before the game.

(This article does not contain any prediction content, and is only organized based on objective data.)