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Millions of simulations reveal the probability of winning the Premier League in the new season. Let’s see which one your home team ranks
11:18am, 6 August 2025【Football】
Millions of simulations reveal the probability of winning the Premier League in the new season.
According to the results of the million-time Premier League championship simulation conducted by the football data website FusionSim, Liverpool has become the biggest favorite with an absolute advantage. Among the 1 million simulations, Liverpool won the championship as high as 363,744 times, with a 36.37% chance of winning the championship at the top.

Manchester City competes for the runner-up with Arsenal in extremely fierce competition. Manchester City ranked second with 315,617 championships, Arsenal followed behind with 300,200 championships, and Chelsea ranked fourth, but the probability of winning the championship is huge, with only 8,518 times.
Among other teams, Aston Villa had 0.51 5136 times, Newcastle United had 0.46, 0.15, and Brighton had 394 times, 0.04 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 51 5 Manchester United's performance was particularly sluggish. Although they introduced players such as Cunya and Mbermo in the summer window, they only won 163 championships in a million simulations, with the probability of winning as low as 0.016. Tottenham Hotspur 16 times, Brentford 11 times, Bournemouth 3 times, Everton 3 times, Nottingham Forest 2 times and Fulham 1 time also appeared on the mock-winning list.

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