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Is there something wrong with the NBA? The Mavericks won the No. 1 pick with a 1.8% chance. Zhu Meng said bluntly that this is really a bit suspicious
7:02pm, 10 June 2025【Basketball】
Previously, the 2025 NBA lottery ceremony was held in Chicago, and the Mavericks became the biggest winner. You should know that the probability of their first pick is only 1.8%; but with such a low probability, they actually drew the first pick, which is really a big explosion in character. The Spurs won the second pick, and the 76ers got the Tanhua lottery; the Hornets, Jazz and Wizards, who were originally tied for the highest chance of winning, did not make it to the top three this time, and this result was indeed a bit surprising.
Of course, the Mavericks made a big move in the middle of the season, sending star Doncic to the Lakers in exchange for players such as Anthony Davis and draft picks. I originally wanted to use this to improve my strength and strive for the championship, but Davis and Irving were injured one after another, and the team's record plummeted and missed the playoffs. Who would have thought that this failure would have caused the Mavericks to "surprise" in the draw of lots, but it is really reasonable and coincidental? There will be a saying in the Western world that God will give mercy? Or is the reality that there is insider information in the NBA?
Isn't this? When the Warriors forward Zhu Meng participated in the "Chicken Feather Show", host Kimmel asked him: "Is it a bit suspicious that the Mavericks got the No. 1 pick, or is it really a matter of probability?"
Zhong Meng replied: "Although Xiao Hua banned me for many games and fined me a lot of money, I still treat him as a friend and don't want to cause trouble for him, but this matter is indeed a little suspicious." As soon as the news came out, the fans were also in a rage. Some fans said: "People who sent Davis to Zion before, the Spurs got the Zebra after playing badly. Now the Mavericks sent Doncic away and got the No. 1 pick. If there is no internal operation, I don't believe it!" Some fans joked: "It's equivalent to Doncic changing Davis and No. 1 pick. Who is not happy with this deal?"
In my opinion, it is understandable that everyone has doubts about the Mavericks' draw to No. 1 pick.
The Mavericks traded Doncic in the mid-season, and the team's record declined sharply. It was a bad thing, but unexpectedly drew the No. 1 pick. The plot twist is too big, and it is inevitable that people feel that something is tricky. Moreover, there have always been some teams in the NBA who quickly gained strong aids through the draft after poor record, such as the Pelicans and the Spurs, which makes people even more doubt whether the league is "blind-box operation" and "opening backdoors" for some rebuilding teams.
From the perspective of external factors, in order to maintain the competitiveness and topicality of each team, it is not impossible for the league to occasionally have some "surprise". As a team with a certain influence, getting the No. 1 pick can quickly return to the fans' horizon and increase the attention and topic. In addition, the probability this time is really ridiculously low, only 1.8%. It is rare to draw the top scorer with such low probability in history.
However, the league official will definitely say that this is a matter of probability, after all, the lottery draw rules are there. But the fans didn't buy it, thinking that this coincidence was too "coincident". As an active player, Zhu Meng feels suspicious, and it seems that this matter is indeed a bit difficult to explain. But no matter what, we still have to see how the Mavericks use this No. 1 pick. If they can really choose a super star to lead the team to rise, then this "luck" will have value, otherwise the fans will probably keep focusing on this matter. The mid-season deal did happen suddenly and was ranked first in NBA history, which was enough to change the entire league's pattern in the next five to ten years. Once the Mavericks use the No. 1 pick to select future stars, this team will gather the No. 2011 pick Irving, the No. 2012 pick Davis, and the No. 2025 pick. They are talented enough to crush any opponent. If nothing unexpected happens, they will become one of the Western Conference's powerful players for a long time. Where are the Lakers? James is also on the verge of retirement. Doncic will successfully take over the mantle and become the star of this giant team. He will continue to strengthen and improve the lineup configuration during the offseason, and will also be a favorite to win the championship next year.
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