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[Today s Event] 3 strings: Reims has a slight psychological advantage, Manchester United has an advantage in control and offensive efficiency (with sweeping)

11:53am, 21 May 2025【Football】

Wednesday 006 Ligue 1 Metz vs. Reims

Match time: 2025-05-22 02:00

Paper strength: Metz is worth 29.4 million euros, ranking 576 for the world club; Reims is worth 109.2 million euros, ranking 356. Although Reims is only 220th in the ranking, his net worth is nearly 4 times that of Metz and his honor is even more prominent (6 times Ligue 1 champions and 2 times French Cup champions). Although Metz performed stably at the French Ligue 2 level, his strength on paper was significantly inferior to Reims.

Summary: Lance's paper strength is crushed and has significant advantages.

Recent record: Metz has remained unbeaten with 1 win and 2 draws in the last three home games, but their opponents are all low-level or weak teams (Red Star is worth 10.8 million, Rodez is worth 14.3 million), with limited value. Reims has drawn 1 and lost 2 in the last three away games, but his opponents include Ligue 1 strong teams such as Lille (318 million euros) and Nice (215 million euros). Although he has not won, his opponent's strength is far superior to himself. In contrast, Mess is in a stable state but his opponent is weak, while Lance has a poor record due to the difficulty of the schedule.

Summary: Metz has been unbeaten at home recently, but his opponent is weak; Lance meets strong opponents away, and his record has objective factors.

Offensive and Defensive Ability: Mets scored 6 goals and conceded 5 goals in his last 3 home games, with only 1 clean sheet, and there are loopholes in defense. Lance has only scored 1 goal and conceded 3 goals in his last three away games, and has once scored 1 clean sheet. His offense is weak but his defense is relatively stable. In the current game data, Metz scored 65 goals and conceded 34 goals in the season, with an average ball possession rate of 59%, and his shots and shots were close to positive (13.29 vs 4.86), and his offensive efficiency was high; Reims' data was not clear, but Ligue 1 experience may improve his offensive and defensive rhythm adaptability.

Summary: Metz's offense is efficient but his defense is unstable, while Lance's defense is more stable but his offense is sluggish.

Mess showed off an offensive and defensive balance in Ligue 2 (goal difference +31), a ball possession rate of 59% reflects strong control, averaging 529 passes per game and a success rate of 85.79% supports his pass control system. Core players Sabali (15 goals and 2 assists) and Yudu (4 goals and 8 assists) are the core of the offensive. Although Lance has no current data on Ligue 1, as a relegation team, his experience in Ligue 1 may become a key variable, especially in high-pressure competitions.

Summary: Metz performed strongly in French Ligue 2, and Reims needed to rely on experience to deal with the escalating battle.

Confrontation characteristics: In the last 6 confrontations, Lance has a slight advantage in 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss, but has drawn with both draws in the last two confrontations (2-2, 1-1). Metz once tied Lans 2-2 at home, and was not at a disadvantage. The draws accounted for 50% of the last 10 matches between the two sides, and the game style tends to be stalemate.

Summary: There are many draws in historical confrontations, but Lance has a slight psychological advantage.

Comprehensive Analysis

Win draw: Loss

Total goals: 2 goals / 3 goals

Half-game: draw/negative

Score: 0:2 / 1:2

Unpopular warning

Low compensation changes: 0.26

5%+Institutions: 0

The average value of low compensation changes and the odds changes of most companies are relatively mild. This shows that the situation in the game is relatively stable, with low uncertainty and a small probability of unpopularity.

Wednesday 007 Europa Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester United

Match time: 2025-05-22 03:00

Paper strength: Tottenham Hotspur's net worth (836.1 million euros) is higher than Manchester United (699.25 million euros), but Manchester United's World Club ranking (56th place) is slightly better than Tottenham (61st place). Although Manchester United has richer historical honors (such as the 2-time Champions League championship), Tottenham has a slight advantage with its higher lineup value.

Summary: Tottenham has a slightly stronger paper strength, but the gap is limited.

Recent record: Tottenham has 1 win and 2 losses at home in the last 3 games, defeating the low-priced Bode Shining (43.15 million euros), and losing to Crystal Palace (441 million) and Nottingham Forest (447 million). Manchester United has lost 1 win and 2 away games in the last three games, but their opponents are more valuable: defeating Bilbao (367 million) and losing to Chelsea (922 million) and Brentford (417 million). Both teams have been in a state that has been unstable recently, but Manchester United has shown some resilience when facing strong opponents.

Summary: Both sides have performed poorly recently, Manchester United's opponents are stronger and they are in a slightly better state.

Offensive and defensive ability: Tottenham scored 4 goals and conceded 5 goals in the last 3 games, with zero seals; Manchester United scored 6 goals and conceded 5 goals in the last 3 games, with one clean sheet. Manchester United is more efficient on the offensive end (2 goals per game) and has slightly better stability on the defensive end. Tottenham has obvious loopholes in the defense line recently, and although Manchester United conceded many goals, they have stronger zero-blocking capabilities in key battles.

Summary: Manchester United's offense is sharper, and its defensive stability is slightly superior.

Meeting performance: Manchester United scored 35 goals in the current game (1.75 goals per game), with a ball possession rate of 57%, averaging 17.64 shots per game (6.36 shots per game), with a higher offensive efficiency; Tottenham scored 27 goals (1.35 goals per game), with a ball possession rate of 52%, averaging 13.64 shots per game (5.36 shots per game), but the defense is more stable (conceding 13 vs Manchester United 18). Manchester United's field control ability and offensive threat are more prominent, while Hot Spurs defense is more trustworthy.

Summary: Manchester United has superior control and offensive efficiency, while Tottenham has more stable defense.

Confrontation features: Tottenham has won 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 6 matches, and has won all the last 3 games (including 3-0 away wins), with significant psychological advantages. Both sides have only tied once in the last 10 games, and the game style is biased towards winning and losing.

Summary: Tottenham's historical confrontation has a significant psychological advantage and a low probability of a draw.

Comprehensive Analysis

Win draw/lose: draw/left draw

Total goals: 1 goal / 2 goals

Half-game: flat/lose draw

Score: 1:1 / 0:1

Unpopular warning

Low compensation changes: 4.26

5%+Institutions: 8

Although the average of low compensation changes is high, only a few companies show significant odds changes. Although there is some uncertainty, overall, the possibility of unpopularity is relatively low.

Wednesday 008 Dutch Republic Dodrecht VS William II

Match time: 2025-05-22 00:45

Paper strength: In terms of paper strength, William II has a clear advantage. William II's team is worth 16.08 million euros, far higher than Dodrecht's 8.08 million euros; in terms of world club ranking, William II ranks 751, while Dodrecht is only 1596. In addition, William II has a deeper honor, with 4 Dutch League championships, 3 Dutch League championships and 2 Dutch Cup championships, while Dodrecht has only won 2 Dutch League championships.

Summary: William II has stronger paper strength and significant advantages.

Recent record: Dodrecht has been in excellent shape at home recently, winning all home games and winning 2 games without any losses, including defeating Grafsharp, who is worth 9.03 million euros and Volendan, who is 7.13 million euros. In contrast, William II has only achieved 1 draw and 2 losses in the past three away games, and his opponent is strong (such as Nijmegen, which is worth 34.25 million euros), but failed to show his due competitiveness. Although William II's opponent is more valuable, his away performance is significantly weaker.

Summary: Dodrecht is in a hot home form recently, and William II is sluggish away.

Offensive and Defensive Ability: Dodrecht scored 9 goals and conceded only 1 goal in his last three games. His offensive end has strong firepower and his defensive end has a zero-blocking rate of up to 67%. William II has only scored 2 goals in the past three away games, conceded 3 goals and had no clean sheets, and it was weak on both ends of offense and defense. Dodrecht's defensive stability and offensive efficiency are significantly better than its opponents.

Summary: Dodlerbrokes have both offense and defense, while William II has weak offense and unstable defense.

Meeting performance: Dodrecht scored 71 goals in the Dutch second season (1.87 goals per game), conceded 46 goals (1.21 goals per game), averaged 48% ball possession rate, and 13.53 shots (4.95 shots per game), demonstrating a high offensive efficiency and a balanced offensive and defensive system. Although William II's specific data is not provided, his recent away performance and defensive loopholes suggest that there is a gap between his current state and Dodrecht.

Summary: Dodler branch has a balanced offense and defense, and better control and offensive efficiency.

Confrontation characteristics: In the last 6 matches between the two teams, William II has won 3 wins and 3 draws, but the last two ended with draws (4-4, 1-1), with the draw accounting for as much as 50%. Although Dodrecht has no victory, it has shown strong resilience in recent encounters. In addition, the two teams have a large number of draws in the last 10 games, and the game style tends to be stalemate.

Summary: William II has the advantage in history, but draws have occurred frequently recently, and his psychological advantage is limited.

Comprehensive Analysis

Win draw: 3}

Goal goals: 3 goals / 4 goals

Half-game: Win draw/ draw

Score: 2:2 / 1:2

Unpopular warning

Low compensation changes: -0.53

5%+Institutions: 0

Average of low compensation changes and most companies' odds changes are relatively mild. This shows that the situation in the game is relatively stable, with low uncertainty and a small probability of unpopularity.

Note: The article is only the initial view. The earlier time is due to the changes in data, which may affect the results. Please refer carefully. It is more stable on the spot. Next, there is a left small corner center of gravity analysis.