Saturday 002 [Japan Focus Battle] Tokyo FC breaks the curse at home? Can the relegation fighting spirit overturn the AFC powerhouse?

Key Data Express

Tokyo FC has recently won 3 wins 2 draws and 1 loss at home, and the more he fights, the more he fights, the Emperor Cup, 2-0 victory over Ota Three Gods, boosts morale. But the hidden dangers on the defense line are prominent - the main defender Trevison is injured and conceded 1.7 goals per game in the league (most no. 2 in the league). Brazilian striker Marcelo Ryan (6 goals) has become the core of the offensive, contributing 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 3 games, and is a "relegation hero". Although Urawa Red Diamonds are a qualified competitor in the AFC Champions League, their away performance is a disaster: the league's away winning rate is only 10% (1 win, 6 draws, 3 losses), lost all of their last three away games and conceded 8 goals. After three consecutive losses in the Club World Cup (1-3 Han Plate, 1-2 Inter Milan, 0-4 Monterrey), the team's morale fell to freezing point. If goalkeeper Shisaku Nishikawa continues to be absent, the substitute goalkeeper may become a fatal loophole.

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Historical confrontations have hidden secrets

In the last 6 matches, Tokyo FC3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses have slightly superior, with a home win rate of 67% against Urawa (2 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses, 2 wins, 2 losses, 1 loss at home). Although Urawa narrowly won 3-2 in the first leg of this season, Tokyo faced Urawa 2 wins and 1 loss in the last three home games, with a clear psychological advantage.

Highlights of tactical game

Tokyo FC focuses on home press + quick counterattack, relying on crosses from the wing to create murderous intent; Urawa Red Diamond relies on the impact of Joao Silva (8 goals and 3 assists) and Savio on the wing, but midfielder Shibado's lack of injury caused the interception ability to decrease. If Urawa cannot limit Ryan's movement space, the defense line may be washed away.

Score prediction

Tokyo FC's relegation intention + psychological advantage at home + Urawa's away weak game, and is expected to end the away game's "curse" with a 2-1 win. If Urawa defense unites, it may evolve into 1-1.