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Paris VS Botafogo: Champions League champion crushing, can the South American defense withstand Mbappe s impact?

8:50am, 20 June 2025【Football】

Paris' offensive equation: winger's explosive point + midfield control double drive

Vitinia's metronome function: 85 passes per game + 92% success rate Midfield dispatch

Winter depth strike: Kvaratsheria 5.3 passes per 90 minutes + Dembele's finishing ability 33 goals

Atletico Madrid-style defense defeat sample: Paris used its width to create 4 goals from the wing The fatal weakness of Botafogo: midfielder lost control and amplified the defense line crisis

Alert that he was shot 23 feet in the first game: Seattle Gulfman created 7 excellent opportunities through rapid conversion

The intensity fault of the Brazilian League and the Club World Cup: Average of 9.3 shots per game in the league → Doubled the first game of the Club World Cup

The sequelae of core departure: the success rate of the midfield interception plunged from 72% to 58%; the data slope of the data drop

Judgment scale: The tactical variables brought by the Canadian referee group

The strict standard of 4.2 yellow cards per game this season may limit Bottafogo's signature 16.7 foul tactics per game

VAR intervention rate 38%** law enforcement style, which is good for Paris' average of 5.8 frontcourt set pieces per game

Historical data: South American teams' winning rate dropped by 12% under North American referee law enforcement

The prediction of the backhand: Paris's Plan B and Bottafogo's life-saving straw

Paris' substitute firepower: The bench led by Gonzalo Ramos contributes 27 goals in the season, and has obvious advantages in dealing with intensive schedules

Bottafogo's counterattack efficiency: The top scorer, Hersus, has a conversion rate of 0.38 goals per 90 minutes, and is difficult to threaten Paris (lost 0.8 goals per game)

Psychological game: Paris's probability of leading in the last 6 games at halftimes vs Bottafogo conceded the goal away from home and then reversed the rate is zero

Technical flow crushing or South American miracle? The ultimate answer at the tactical level

Paris averaged 4.7 more excellent opportunities than its opponents per game

Botafogo expected to conced 2.8 goals when facing the Champions League teams

Historical rules: the last five Champions League champions averaged 2.4 goals in the Club World Cup, and finally gave a reasonable score prediction of 3-0 or 4-1, emphasizing that tactical generation difference determines the direction of the game.

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