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Austria s self-destructive martial arts vs. the king of abuse! Ronnie Jedi strikes back or Lucescu plays the nemesis again?
10:38pm, 7 June 2025【Football】
Austria's "halved" personnel reduction: Alaba + Sabitzer was absent, and Wimmer was forced to play the fullback instead, and his attack was cut off!
The Romanian "Caibing King" has emerged? Behind the 7 wins and 1 loss is real power or the "bottom bonus"?
Big ball is as stable as a dog? Romania has nine big games in the last 10 games. Can Austria break the small ball curse at home?
⚽ 1. Team strength and recent state
Austria (ranked 22nd in the world, worth 210 million euros)
Recent state: 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 6 main games, with a winning rate of 67%; home firepower (average of 2.3 goals in the last 6 home games), but in recent 3 games, 2 draws and 1 loss in the state has declined, and the defense has conceded consecutive goals.
Tactical features: focus on 4-2-3-1 formation, emphasizing breakthroughs on the wing and midfield control, and set pieces have great threats (4 set pieces scored in the last 10 games).
Hidden danger: Alaba, the core of the defense, is absent due to injury, and his defense organization ability has declined; offensive efficiency has declined recently (only scored 2 goals in the last 3 games).
Romania (ranked 45th in the world, worth 110 million euros)
Recent status: 5 wins and 1 loss in the last 6 games, with sufficient away resilience (average of 0.8 goals per game in the last 6 away games), but the winning content is insufficient (most against weak teams).
Tactical features: 5-3-2 defensive counterattack formation, relying on high-level pressing and rapid conversion, with a counterattack conversion rate of 38%; but the main midfielder Marin was suspended and the midfield barrier was weakened.
Shortcoming: Relying on individual stars on the offensive end (such as Puskas), the ability to create opportunities when facing strong teams is limited.
⚔️The core contradiction hit the nail on the head
Austria (Pussy Strong Team Alert)
Romania (Dark Horse Filter)
The residual array collapsed: Alaba + Danso + Sabitzer was all missing, and the central axis evaporated!
7 wins and 1 loss: The abuse is as stable as a dog, but the opponents are all C-level UEFA European League
Self-breaking the meridians: Bundesliga winger Wimmer, who has 3 goals and 4 assists, has changed to play right back!
⚠️ Strong battle: The counterattack efficiency dropped sharply when encountering a strong team + Haji's injury and lack of wings
Home curse: Drawing Moldova in the past two years + losing to Ireland, deep sets turned into a sinkhole
Iron barrel hazard: Marin's suspension of the game leaked from the midfield, the 39-year-old coach fought to set up a formation
Winning and losing hand: The game on the tip of the knife
Austrian killer moves: Baumgartner + Arnautovic bombing at high altitude (rejected to 5 defenders)
Romanian fatal point: Dragusin bears hard with injuries, defending the set ball = send a question!
Fatal Metaphysics:
Ronnick draws 1 and loses 1 in his career!
Romania has won all away against Austria in the past five years!
1986 4-0 bloodbathing. History repeats itself?
Ultimate conclusion
This game is a contradictory showdown between the "pseudo-strong team" vs. the "pseudo-dark horse":
Austria: paper strength is superior but self-cutting (Wimer's position change + central axis injury is missing), and may be impatient under home pressure.
Romania: The abuse is stable but the tough battle is doubtful, and the defensive resilience depends on the dispatch of the senior coach.
Optimal strategy:
Austria - 1.5 goals (mainly win)
Austria wins alone
Reason: The entry threshold for Austria is high enough, and there is a suspicion of guiding the market to Romania.
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