7, 9 Analyze reference points!!!

In the semi-finals of the Club World Cup in the early morning of July 10, the match between Paris Saint-Germain and Real Madrid is expected to be a wonderful match with more goals, and Paris Saint-Germain has a relatively high probability of winning 4. The specific analysis is as follows:

Team Status 1

: Paris Saint-Germain has 5 wins and 1 loss in the last 6 games, scoring 17 goals and conceded only 1 goal, averaging 2.7 goals per game, and 5 consecutive clean sheets on the defensive end (except for 0-1 loss to Bottafogo). He has 4 wins and 1 loss in the Club World Cup, averaging 7.3 shots per game, 61.9 dangerous attacks per game, and conceded 0.4 goals per game, making him one of the best defense teams in the game. Real Madrid has unbeaten in 5 wins and 1 draw in the last 6 games, conceding 4 goals in 13 goals, and averaging 55.2% possession, but conceded 1.1 goals/game higher than Paris, and its defensive stability is slightly worse, such as once narrowly defeated Dortmund 3-2.

Linecraft Status 3

: For Paris Saint-Germain, the main center back Lucas Hernandez and Pacho are suspended due to red cards, and the defense line may be affected to a certain extent. Marginhos is expected to be partnered with Berardo, but their air defense capabilities may decline. Real Madrid also has a defense crisis. The main central defender Wysen was suspended from red card. Rudiger may have to play with injuries. The substitute depth is insufficient. Arnold on the right is weak in defense and may be targeted by players such as Dembele in Paris.

Tactical Style3

: Paris Saint-Germain focuses on the 4-3-3 system, good at using high-pressure in the midfield to oppress and control opponents, and then rely on multiple attackers with outstanding personal abilities in the frontcourt to tear open the defense line by repeatedly interspersing the running position. Under the leadership of new coach Xavi Alonso, Real Madrid often uses a 3-5-2 formation, focusing on defensive counterattacks, and the offense of the wingback and the organization of the midfield are more critical. Front players Vinicius and Gonzalo Garcia have strong scoring abilities.

Historical Confrontation 3

: Real Madrid has won 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 10 matches, with a slight advantage. The most recent match was in the 2021-22 Champions League quarterfinals, with Real Madrid knocking out Paris 3-2.

Predictive result 1

: Judging from the probability simulation of winning the championship, the probability of Paris advancing is 54%, while Real Madrid is 33.4%. Combining the recent state and lineup of the two teams, Paris Saint-Germain is expected to win at home, with a possible score of 2-1. However, Real Madrid also has strong strength. If they can seize the loopholes in Paris's defense line, they have a chance to win or draw their opponents, and there is also the possibility of a 1-1 draw.